North Iceland
Northern lights at Lake Mývatn
Unlikely tonight
Best around 04:00 UTC · 66% cloud · Kp 3.33 · moon down
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Hour by hour, tonight (UTC). Grey bars are daylight or twilight.
A volcanic lake in the north. The north has a clearer outlook for aurora because it lies further from the Gulf Stream clouds that often cover the south.
The next 7 nights
| Night | Chance | Best time (UTC) | Cloud | Kp | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16.10 | Unlikely 34 | 04:00 | 66% | 3.33 | cloud + Kp |
| Sat 17.10 | Poor 14 | 05:00 | 78% | 1.67 | cloud + Kp |
| Sun 18.10 | Poor 7 | 01:00 | 90% | 1.67 | cloud + Kp |
| Mon 19.10 | Poor 0 | 20:00 | 100% | - | cloud only |
| Tue 20.10 | Possible 47 | 06:00 | 22% | - | cloud only |
| Wed 21.10 | Unlikely 26 | 20:00 | 42% | - | cloud only |
| Thu 22.10 | Unlikely 16 | 23:00 | 65% | - | cloud only |
Nights marked "cloud only" are beyond NOAA's three day Kp forecast, so they assume a middling Kp: a rough outlook. Updated 2026-10-16 22:20 UTC. How this is worked out.